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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi

Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%

Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%

Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%

Partito Verde (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,085,211 Vol.

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) 89%

Partito Moderato (M) 5.5%

Democratici Svedesi (SD) 4.9%

Partito Verde (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,085,211 Vol.

Il Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)

$31,681 Vol.

89%

Il Partito Moderato (M) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Partito Moderato (M)

$377,273 Vol.

6%

I Democratici Svedesi (SD) vinceranno il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Democratici Svedesi (SD)

$509,329 Vol.

5%

Il Partito Verde (MP) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Partito Verde (MP)

$93,229 Vol.

1%

Il Partito della Sinistra (V) otterrà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Partito della Sinistra (V)

$14,895 Vol.

<1%

La Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Coalizione dei Cittadini (MED)

$13,438 Vol.

<1%

Il Partito di Centro (C) vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Partito di Centro (C)

$16,456 Vol.

<1%

I Democratici Cristiani (KD) vinceranno il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Democratici Cristiani (KD)

$14,382 Vol.

<1%

I Liberali (L) vinceranno il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari svedesi del 2026? icon

Liberali (L)

$14,529 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls position the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the Riksdag during the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, with trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability. The latest Kantar-Sifo survey (April 11, 2026) shows S at 32.7% (+0.3 points), well ahead of Moderates (M) at 16.8% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% (-1.1 points), reflecting S's stable dominance averaging 33% in poll of polls. Verian (to April 5) confirms similar margins, driven by opposition gains against the Tidö government amid steady voter intentions. While fragmented Tidö bloc support bolsters the right overall, no single rival challenges S's plurality; late shifts from scandals or campaign momentum could narrow the gap.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,085,211
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls position the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) as the clear frontrunner to win the most seats in the Riksdag during the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation, with trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability. The latest Kantar-Sifo survey (April 11, 2026) shows S at 32.7% (+0.3 points), well ahead of Moderates (M) at 16.8% and Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20% (-1.1 points), reflecting S's stable dominance averaging 33% in poll of polls. Verian (to April 5) confirms similar margins, driven by opposition gains against the Tidö government amid steady voter intentions. While fragmented Tidö bloc support bolsters the right overall, no single rival challenges S's plurality; late shifts from scandals or campaign momentum could narrow the gap.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,085,211
Data di fine
13 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)" a 89%, seguito da "Partito Moderato (M)" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 89¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" è "Partito Socialdemocratico Svedese (S)" a 89%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 89% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Partito Moderato (M)" a 6%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari svedesi" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.