Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to win the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical dominance in the 225 single-member districts and strong party-list performance despite recent polls showing a decline to 35-52% support amid rising food and utility prices. New People has emerged as the leading challenger at 28.8% implied probability, buoyed by gains to 12-16% in March-April surveys from WCIOM and FOM, recent federal list approvals featuring leader Alexey Nechayev, and appeal as a business-oriented systemic opposition. LDPR and KPRF hold steady at low single digits, constrained by the 5% proportional threshold. United Russia's ongoing primaries, with over 2,100 applicants including 17% war veterans, signal a controlled refresh ahead of May voting and June congress, while Kremlin strategies like electronic voting aim to secure a constitutional majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 66%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 28.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,471,474 Vol.
$5,471,474 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
66%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
29%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 66%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 28.8%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$5,471,474 Vol.
$5,471,474 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$1,507,904 Vol.
66%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$494,153 Vol.
29%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$2,128,836 Vol.
5%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$364,374 Vol.
<1%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$328,572 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$360,952 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$286,683 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to win the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical dominance in the 225 single-member districts and strong party-list performance despite recent polls showing a decline to 35-52% support amid rising food and utility prices. New People has emerged as the leading challenger at 28.8% implied probability, buoyed by gains to 12-16% in March-April surveys from WCIOM and FOM, recent federal list approvals featuring leader Alexey Nechayev, and appeal as a business-oriented systemic opposition. LDPR and KPRF hold steady at low single digits, constrained by the 5% proportional threshold. United Russia's ongoing primaries, with over 2,100 applicants including 17% war veterans, signal a controlled refresh ahead of May voting and June congress, while Kremlin strategies like electronic voting aim to secure a constitutional majority.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$5,471,474Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to win the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical dominance in the 225 single-member districts and strong party-list performance despite recent polls showing a decline to 35-52% support amid rising food and utility prices. New People has emerged as the leading challenger at 28.8% implied probability, buoyed by gains to 12-16% in March-April surveys from WCIOM and FOM, recent federal list approvals featuring leader Alexey Nechayev, and appeal as a business-oriented systemic opposition. LDPR and KPRF hold steady at low single digits, constrained by the 5% proportional threshold. United Russia's ongoing primaries, with over 2,100 applicants including 17% war veterans, signal a controlled refresh ahead of May voting and June congress, while Kremlin strategies like electronic voting aim to secure a constitutional majority.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$5,471,474Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to win the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its historical dominance in the 225 single-member districts and strong party-list performance despite recent polls showing a decline to 35-52% support amid rising food and utility prices. New People has emerged as the leading challenger at 28.8% implied probability, buoyed by gains to 12-16% in March-April surveys from WCIOM and FOM, recent federal list approvals featuring leader Alexey Nechayev, and appeal as a business-oriented systemic opposition. LDPR and KPRF hold steady at low single digits, constrained by the 5% proportional threshold. United Russia's ongoing primaries, with over 2,100 applicants including 17% war veterans, signal a controlled refresh ahead of May voting and June congress, while Kremlin strategies like electronic voting aim to secure a constitutional majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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