**President Trump's March 31 executive order establishing a federal "State Citizenship List" for verifying voter eligibility in federal elections and imposing USPS restrictions on mail ballots marks the most recent federal push for enhanced oversight, yet stops short of nationalizing election administration—a state responsibility under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution.** Courts blocked similar prior orders, while Democratic and Republican secretaries of state, including Michigan's Jocelyn Benson and Georgia's Brad Raffensperger, reject data demands and funding threats. ProPublica reporting on April 13 detailed agency personnel shifts and investigations like the January Fulton County raid, but highlighted ongoing lawsuits and resistance. Stalled legislative efforts, such as the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, underscore bipartisan opposition and judicial precedents affirming state control, driving trader consensus to 79% "No" probability amid formidable legal barriers before the 2026 midterms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump nazionalizzerà le elezioni?
Trump nazionalizzerà le elezioni?
Sì
$14,721 Vol.
$14,721 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$14,721 Vol.
$14,721 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
**President Trump's March 31 executive order establishing a federal "State Citizenship List" for verifying voter eligibility in federal elections and imposing USPS restrictions on mail ballots marks the most recent federal push for enhanced oversight, yet stops short of nationalizing election administration—a state responsibility under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution.** Courts blocked similar prior orders, while Democratic and Republican secretaries of state, including Michigan's Jocelyn Benson and Georgia's Brad Raffensperger, reject data demands and funding threats. ProPublica reporting on April 13 detailed agency personnel shifts and investigations like the January Fulton County raid, but highlighted ongoing lawsuits and resistance. Stalled legislative efforts, such as the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, underscore bipartisan opposition and judicial precedents affirming state control, driving trader consensus to 79% "No" probability amid formidable legal barriers before the 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$14,721Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
**President Trump's March 31 executive order establishing a federal "State Citizenship List" for verifying voter eligibility in federal elections and imposing USPS restrictions on mail ballots marks the most recent federal push for enhanced oversight, yet stops short of nationalizing election administration—a state responsibility under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution.** Courts blocked similar prior orders, while Democratic and Republican secretaries of state, including Michigan's Jocelyn Benson and Georgia's Brad Raffensperger, reject data demands and funding threats. ProPublica reporting on April 13 detailed agency personnel shifts and investigations like the January Fulton County raid, but highlighted ongoing lawsuits and resistance. Stalled legislative efforts, such as the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, underscore bipartisan opposition and judicial precedents affirming state control, driving trader consensus to 79% "No" probability amid formidable legal barriers before the 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$14,721Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Trump's March 31 executive order establishing a federal "State Citizenship List" for verifying voter eligibility in federal elections and imposing USPS restrictions on mail ballots marks the most recent federal push for enhanced oversight, yet stops short of nationalizing election administration—a state responsibility under Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution.** Courts blocked similar prior orders, while Democratic and Republican secretaries of state, including Michigan's Jocelyn Benson and Georgia's Brad Raffensperger, reject data demands and funding threats. ProPublica reporting on April 13 detailed agency personnel shifts and investigations like the January Fulton County raid, but highlighted ongoing lawsuits and resistance. Stalled legislative efforts, such as the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, underscore bipartisan opposition and judicial precedents affirming state control, driving trader consensus to 79% "No" probability amid formidable legal barriers before the 2026 midterms.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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