**Trader consensus on 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Panama City’s August 7 high reflects current model guidance for peak wet-season conditions in this tropical location.** Panama City lies near 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives persistent cloudiness, high humidity, and frequent showers that typically cap daytime maxima near 29–30°C. Recent forecasts, however, indicate reduced rainfall and stronger solar heating today, allowing temperatures to climb into the low-to-mid 30s. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but daily variability of 2–4°C is common depending on cloud breaks and wind patterns. With market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C (50.5%) and 34°C (35.5%), traders appear to be pricing in the latest model consensus for a modestly above-average peak while assigning lower probability to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or heavier convection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33℃ 51%
34°C 31%
32°C 12%
35°C 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
12%
33℃
51%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
33℃ 51%
34°C 31%
32°C 12%
35°C 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
12%
33℃
51%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Panama City’s August 7 high reflects current model guidance for peak wet-season conditions in this tropical location.** Panama City lies near 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives persistent cloudiness, high humidity, and frequent showers that typically cap daytime maxima near 29–30°C. Recent forecasts, however, indicate reduced rainfall and stronger solar heating today, allowing temperatures to climb into the low-to-mid 30s. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but daily variability of 2–4°C is common depending on cloud breaks and wind patterns. With market-implied odds heavily favoring 33°C (50.5%) and 34°C (35.5%), traders appear to be pricing in the latest model consensus for a modestly above-average peak while assigning lower probability to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or heavier convection.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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