Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Meteorological Service Singapore observations showing a daytime peak of around 32°C at key stations like Changi Airport amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These showers reduced solar insolation and suppressed convective heating after midday peaks, aligning with equatorial climatology where daily maxima typically occur between noon and 3 p.m. under light easterly winds (5-15 km/h). Current evening readings near 28°C, post-peak heating window, solidify this positioning per NEA real-time data. A realistic challenge would require a late-reported revision exceeding 32.5°C at the resolving station, though unlikely given stabilized conditions and historical April baselines around 31-33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$94,504 Vol.
$94,504 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$94,504 Vol.
$94,504 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 24, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 26, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Meteorological Service Singapore observations showing a daytime peak of around 32°C at key stations like Changi Airport amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These showers reduced solar insolation and suppressed convective heating after midday peaks, aligning with equatorial climatology where daily maxima typically occur between noon and 3 p.m. under light easterly winds (5-15 km/h). Current evening readings near 28°C, post-peak heating window, solidify this positioning per NEA real-time data. A realistic challenge would require a late-reported revision exceeding 32.5°C at the resolving station, though unlikely given stabilized conditions and historical April baselines around 31-33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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