Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
47%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 39%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
47%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Environment Agency guidance for the first half of August 2026 highlights southwest monsoon conditions with drier-than-average rainfall and daily maximum temperatures most often reaching 33–34 °C, establishing the baseline for trader focus on the narrow 32–33 °C range. Typical equatorial variability—afternoon thundery showers, variable cloud cover, and localized sea-breeze effects—can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1 °C on any given day, keeping implied probabilities closely split. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32 °C, yet the current drier pattern raises the chance of clearer skies and stronger solar heating that could push the daily extreme into the low 30s. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA fortnightly briefing expected within days will provide the clearest signals for resolution between these two leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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