Consistent forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological services indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on September 1 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain, where high-pressure dominance and minimal moisture support peak surface heating near 30–32°C without convective disruption. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations approaching the threshold. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, an unforecasted mesoscale shift altering the peak by 1–2°C, or post-hoc data revisions from the China Meteorological Administration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の鄭州の最高気温は?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,276 Vol.
$3,276 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,276 Vol.
$3,276 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Consistent forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional meteorological services indicate Zhengzhou will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on September 1 under clear skies, light northeast winds, and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain, where high-pressure dominance and minimal moisture support peak surface heating near 30–32°C without convective disruption. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations approaching the threshold. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include localized measurement discrepancies at official stations, an unforecasted mesoscale shift altering the peak by 1–2°C, or post-hoc data revisions from the China Meteorological Administration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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