Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years amid prior inflation deceleration to 3.8% in February. This reflects trader consensus on sustained monetary loosening, supported by IPCA inflation at 4.14% in March (within the 4.5% upper tolerance band) and Focus survey projections of 4.1% for 2026, alongside recovering but contained economic activity. Upside risks from geopolitical tensions or hotter April data could prompt a pause, challenging the strong positioning if Copom prioritizes caution as signaled in recent minutes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 96.0%
변경 없음 3.7%
인상 <1%
$274,149 거래량
$274,149 거래량
2026.04.28
인상
1%
변경 없음
4%
인하
96%
인하 96.0%
변경 없음 3.7%
인상 <1%
$274,149 거래량
$274,149 거래량
2026.04.28
인상
$146,248 거래량
1%
변경 없음
$62,665 거래량
4%
인하
$65,236 거래량
96%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years amid prior inflation deceleration to 3.8% in February. This reflects trader consensus on sustained monetary loosening, supported by IPCA inflation at 4.14% in March (within the 4.5% upper tolerance band) and Focus survey projections of 4.1% for 2026, alongside recovering but contained economic activity. Upside risks from geopolitical tensions or hotter April data could prompt a pause, challenging the strong positioning if Copom prioritizes caution as signaled in recent minutes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
거래량
$274,149종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years amid prior inflation deceleration to 3.8% in February. This reflects trader consensus on sustained monetary loosening, supported by IPCA inflation at 4.14% in March (within the 4.5% upper tolerance band) and Focus survey projections of 4.1% for 2026, alongside recovering but contained economic activity. Upside risks from geopolitical tensions or hotter April data could prompt a pause, challenging the strong positioning if Copom prioritizes caution as signaled in recent minutes.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$274,149종료일
2026.04.28마켓 개설일
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom meeting on April 29, driven by the committee's March 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing in nearly two years amid prior inflation deceleration to 3.8% in February. This reflects trader consensus on sustained monetary loosening, supported by IPCA inflation at 4.14% in March (within the 4.5% upper tolerance band) and Focus survey projections of 4.1% for 2026, alongside recovering but contained economic activity. Upside risks from geopolitical tensions or hotter April data could prompt a pause, challenging the strong positioning if Copom prioritizes caution as signaled in recent minutes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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