Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's (BCB) June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's kickoff with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18 amid prior disinflation to 3.81% annual IPCA in February. March inflation accelerated to 4.14% year-over-year due to fuel price pressures from Middle East tensions, yet forward projections show convergence to the 3% target (±1.5%) by late 2027, with economists forecasting end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. No-change odds at 11.5% account for potential April 29 pause if data softens further, while hike probability remains negligible absent renewed inflationary surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인하 80%
변경 없음 16%
인상 2.4%
$20,432 거래량
$20,432 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
2%
변경 없음
12%
인하
81%
인하 80%
변경 없음 16%
인상 2.4%
$20,432 거래량
$20,432 거래량
2026.06.16
인상
$11,418 거래량
2%
변경 없음
$3,565 거래량
12%
인하
$5,449 거래량
81%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's (BCB) June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's kickoff with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18 amid prior disinflation to 3.81% annual IPCA in February. March inflation accelerated to 4.14% year-over-year due to fuel price pressures from Middle East tensions, yet forward projections show convergence to the 3% target (±1.5%) by late 2027, with economists forecasting end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. No-change odds at 11.5% account for potential April 29 pause if data softens further, while hike probability remains negligible absent renewed inflationary surges.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
거래량
$20,432종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's (BCB) June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's kickoff with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18 amid prior disinflation to 3.81% annual IPCA in February. March inflation accelerated to 4.14% year-over-year due to fuel price pressures from Middle East tensions, yet forward projections show convergence to the 3% target (±1.5%) by late 2027, with economists forecasting end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. No-change odds at 11.5% account for potential April 29 pause if data softens further, while hike probability remains negligible absent renewed inflationary surges.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$20,432종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81.5% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's (BCB) June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle's kickoff with a unanimous 25 basis point cut to 14.75% on March 18 amid prior disinflation to 3.81% annual IPCA in February. March inflation accelerated to 4.14% year-over-year due to fuel price pressures from Middle East tensions, yet forward projections show convergence to the 3% target (±1.5%) by late 2027, with economists forecasting end-2026 Selic around 12.5%. No-change odds at 11.5% account for potential April 29 pause if data softens further, while hike probability remains negligible absent renewed inflationary surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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