Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, with a 95.7% implied probability reflecting real-money bets amid persistent inflationary pressures. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, prompting the MPC's unanimous March 19 hold and cautious signals from officials like Huw Pill to await clearer war impacts. A recent April 2 survey highlighted firms' sharpest price expectation rise in years, bolstering the restrictive stance. Upside risks to hikes linger at 4%, but a durable ceasefire or softer March CPI (due mid-April) could challenge this positioning by easing inflation fears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트변동 없음 95.8%
인상 4.0%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$455,362 거래량
$455,362 거래량
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
96%
인상
4%
변동 없음 95.8%
인상 4.0%
50bp 이상 인하 <1%
25bp 인하 <1%
$455,362 거래량
$455,362 거래량
50bp 이상 인하
<1%
25bp 인하
<1%
변동 없음
96%
인상
4%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors no change in the Bank Rate at 3.75% for the Bank of England's April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, with a 95.7% implied probability reflecting real-money bets amid persistent inflationary pressures. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0%—above the 2% target—exacerbated by Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, prompting the MPC's unanimous March 19 hold and cautious signals from officials like Huw Pill to await clearer war impacts. A recent April 2 survey highlighted firms' sharpest price expectation rise in years, bolstering the restrictive stance. Upside risks to hikes linger at 4%, but a durable ceasefire or softer March CPI (due mid-April) could challenge this positioning by easing inflation fears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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