Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
35%
22°C
24%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 24%
20°C 23%
19°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
15°C or below
$1,321 거래량
<1%
16°C
$862 거래량
<1%
17°C
$759 거래량
1%
18°C
$908 거래량
3%
19°C
$398 거래량
16%
20°C
$757 거래량
23%
21°C
$413 거래량
35%
22°C
$963 거래량
24%
23°C
$1,059 거래량
7%
24°C
$1,051 거래량
2%
25°C or higher
$871 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$9,300종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$9,300종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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