Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
14%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 14%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
$906 거래량
1%
26°C
$2,263 거래량
5%
27°C
$556 거래량
7%
28°C
$247 거래량
22%
29°C
$220 거래량
32%
30°C
$143 거래량
24%
31°C
$199 거래량
14%
32°C
$389 거래량
8%
33°C
$380 거래량
2%
34°C
$496 거래량
1%
35°C or higher
$1,852 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
거래량
$7,650종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$7,650종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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