Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) aviation forecasts for Incheon International Airport— the resolution station for Seoul temperatures—project a daytime high of 18°C on April 17 under persistent cloudy conditions, fueling the 56.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher while elevating 17°C (16.5%) and 16°C (16.0%) as close contenders. This follows a recent warm spell, with April 15 observations reaching 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, but model consensus anticipates cooling from increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and shifting southerly flows limiting peak heating to midday hours around noon to 3 p.m. KMA short-range updates, released every 6-12 hours, could refine this outlook amid typical spring forecast uncertainty, where small changes in boundary layer stability often tip highs by 1-2°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 17°C, aligning with current trader sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 61%
16°C 17%
17°C 17%
15°C 6%
신규
$33,292 거래량
신규
$33,292 거래량
2026.04.17
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C or higher
61%
18°C or higher 61%
16°C 17%
17°C 17%
15°C 6%
신규
$33,292 거래량
신규
$33,292 거래량
2026.04.17
8°C or below
$8,819 거래량
<1%
9°C
$1,995 거래량
<1%
10°C
$1,921 거래량
<1%
11°C
$2,361 거래량
<1%
12°C
$1,540 거래량
<1%
13°C
$2,562 거래량
2%
14°C
$3,762 거래량
3%
15°C
$2,518 거래량
6%
16°C
$1,504 거래량
17%
17°C
$1,356 거래량
17%
18°C or higher
$4,978 거래량
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) aviation forecasts for Incheon International Airport— the resolution station for Seoul temperatures—project a daytime high of 18°C on April 17 under persistent cloudy conditions, fueling the 56.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher while elevating 17°C (16.5%) and 16°C (16.0%) as close contenders. This follows a recent warm spell, with April 15 observations reaching 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, but model consensus anticipates cooling from increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and shifting southerly flows limiting peak heating to midday hours around noon to 3 p.m. KMA short-range updates, released every 6-12 hours, could refine this outlook amid typical spring forecast uncertainty, where small changes in boundary layer stability often tip highs by 1-2°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 17°C, aligning with current trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$33,292종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) aviation forecasts for Incheon International Airport— the resolution station for Seoul temperatures—project a daytime high of 18°C on April 17 under persistent cloudy conditions, fueling the 56.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher while elevating 17°C (16.5%) and 16°C (16.0%) as close contenders. This follows a recent warm spell, with April 15 observations reaching 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, but model consensus anticipates cooling from increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and shifting southerly flows limiting peak heating to midday hours around noon to 3 p.m. KMA short-range updates, released every 6-12 hours, could refine this outlook amid typical spring forecast uncertainty, where small changes in boundary layer stability often tip highs by 1-2°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 17°C, aligning with current trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$33,292종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) aviation forecasts for Incheon International Airport— the resolution station for Seoul temperatures—project a daytime high of 18°C on April 17 under persistent cloudy conditions, fueling the 56.5% market-implied probability for 18°C or higher while elevating 17°C (16.5%) and 16°C (16.0%) as close contenders. This follows a recent warm spell, with April 15 observations reaching 23°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, but model consensus anticipates cooling from increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and shifting southerly flows limiting peak heating to midday hours around noon to 3 p.m. KMA short-range updates, released every 6-12 hours, could refine this outlook amid typical spring forecast uncertainty, where small changes in boundary layer stability often tip highs by 1-2°C. Historical mid-April averages hover near 17°C, aligning with current trader sentiment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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