Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 30°C in Taipei on April 17 under partly clear skies, following a weakening weather front that delivered scattered showers through April 15-16, allowing warmer air to dominate northern Taiwan. This aligns with international models like ECMWF and GFS showing peaks around 29-31°C, driving trader consensus where 30°C leads at 23.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 29°C (20%) and 31°C (18.5%). Close odds reflect genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover, urban heat island amplification at Songshan Airport station, high humidity near 80%, and light northeast winds potentially capping or boosting peaks by 1-2°C. Daily CWA updates expected April 16 could refine guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
30°C 23%
29°C 19%
31°C 19%
28°C 15%
$13,394 거래량
$13,394 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
19%
30°C
23%
31°C
19%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 23%
29°C 19%
31°C 19%
28°C 15%
$13,394 거래량
$13,394 거래량
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
15%
29°C
19%
30°C
23%
31°C
19%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 30°C in Taipei on April 17 under partly clear skies, following a weakening weather front that delivered scattered showers through April 15-16, allowing warmer air to dominate northern Taiwan. This aligns with international models like ECMWF and GFS showing peaks around 29-31°C, driving trader consensus where 30°C leads at 23.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 29°C (20%) and 31°C (18.5%). Close odds reflect genuine uncertainty from variable cloud cover, urban heat island amplification at Songshan Airport station, high humidity near 80%, and light northeast winds potentially capping or boosting peaks by 1-2°C. Daily CWA updates expected April 16 could refine guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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