MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a Wellington high of 18°C on April 17 amid strengthening northwesterlies advecting warmer maritime air, followed by morning showers and possible afternoon gales, driving the tight market-implied odds with 18°C (36.5%) edging 19°C (34.0%). This reflects model ensemble means clustering around 18°C, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak insolation at the Wellington International Airport station, while recent days' highs of 17-18°C provide analogs under similar autumn patterns averaging 17°C. Key differentiators include front timing—earlier showers favoring 17°C (21.0%) via enhanced mixing, or delayed clearing boosting 19-20°C potential. New MetService updates and global model runs expected overnight into April 17 could refine these uncertainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 39%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
20°C 5%
신규
$24,868 거래량
신규
$24,868 거래량
2026.04.17
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
39%
19°C
33%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 39%
19°C 33%
17°C 20%
20°C 5%
신규
$24,868 거래량
신규
$24,868 거래량
2026.04.17
11°C or below
$3,878 거래량
<1%
12°C
$3,735 거래량
<1%
13°C
$3,566 거래량
<1%
14°C
$4,704 거래량
1%
15°C
$1,360 거래량
1%
16°C
$1,940 거래량
4%
17°C
$1,182 거래량
20%
18°C
$924 거래량
39%
19°C
$956 거래량
33%
20°C
$1,461 거래량
5%
21°C or higher
$1,163 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a Wellington high of 18°C on April 17 amid strengthening northwesterlies advecting warmer maritime air, followed by morning showers and possible afternoon gales, driving the tight market-implied odds with 18°C (36.5%) edging 19°C (34.0%). This reflects model ensemble means clustering around 18°C, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak insolation at the Wellington International Airport station, while recent days' highs of 17-18°C provide analogs under similar autumn patterns averaging 17°C. Key differentiators include front timing—earlier showers favoring 17°C (21.0%) via enhanced mixing, or delayed clearing boosting 19-20°C potential. New MetService updates and global model runs expected overnight into April 17 could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$24,868종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a Wellington high of 18°C on April 17 amid strengthening northwesterlies advecting warmer maritime air, followed by morning showers and possible afternoon gales, driving the tight market-implied odds with 18°C (36.5%) edging 19°C (34.0%). This reflects model ensemble means clustering around 18°C, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak insolation at the Wellington International Airport station, while recent days' highs of 17-18°C provide analogs under similar autumn patterns averaging 17°C. Key differentiators include front timing—earlier showers favoring 17°C (21.0%) via enhanced mixing, or delayed clearing boosting 19-20°C potential. New MetService updates and global model runs expected overnight into April 17 could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,868종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued April 16, projects a Wellington high of 18°C on April 17 amid strengthening northwesterlies advecting warmer maritime air, followed by morning showers and possible afternoon gales, driving the tight market-implied odds with 18°C (36.5%) edging 19°C (34.0%). This reflects model ensemble means clustering around 18°C, tempered by cloud cover and precipitation suppressing peak insolation at the Wellington International Airport station, while recent days' highs of 17-18°C provide analogs under similar autumn patterns averaging 17°C. Key differentiators include front timing—earlier showers favoring 17°C (21.0%) via enhanced mixing, or delayed clearing boosting 19-20°C potential. New MetService updates and global model runs expected overnight into April 17 could refine these uncertainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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