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정치·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Market icon
정치·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?

4월 17

4월 21

4월 24

4월 17

4월 21

4월 24

TWEET COUNT
1
남은 시간
TWEETS
1
남은 시간

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
신규

<5 71%

5-9 10%

15-19 7%

10-14 5.9%

Polymarket
신규

<5

$921 거래량

71%

5-9

$163 거래량

29%

10-14

$230 거래량

19%

15-19

$320 거래량

24%

20-24

$271 거래량

21%

25-29

$376 거래량

1%

30-34

$469 거래량

3%

35-39

$362 거래량

3%

40-44

$464 거래량

2%

45-49

$545 거래량

<1%

50-54

$651 거래량

4%

55-59

$648 거래량

<1%

60+

$1,135 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 10, 12:00 PM ET, and April 17, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting just one post so far—a repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus issued April 13 amid the account's reduced activity since his February martyrdom. This low volume aligns with post-death patterns of infrequent archival shares, further dampened by a recent Iran ceasefire around April 9 and reports of successor Mojtaba Khamenei's recovery from injuries sustained earlier, as noted April 11. With under two days remaining, traders see scant chance of a posting surge, pricing 5-9 posts next at 22% amid geopolitical de-escalation signals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$6,555
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

정산 출처

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) between April 10, 12:00 PM ET, and April 17, 12:00 PM ET, reflecting just one post so far—a repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus issued April 13 amid the account's reduced activity since his February martyrdom. This low volume aligns with post-death patterns of infrequent archival shares, further dampened by a recent Iran ceasefire around April 9 and reports of successor Mojtaba Khamenei's recovery from injuries sustained earlier, as noted April 11. With under two days remaining, traders see scant chance of a posting surge, pricing 5-9 posts next at 22% amid geopolitical de-escalation signals.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$6,555
종료일
2026.04.17
마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

정산 출처

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?"은 13개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 71%의 "<5"이며, 이어서 28%의 "5-9"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 71¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 71%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 7, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 13개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?"의 현재 유력 후보는 71%의 "<5"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 71%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 28%의 "5-9"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.