Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
<5 71%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.9%
15-19 5%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
<5
71%
5-9
27%
10-14
19%
15-19
5%
20-24
4%
25-29
1%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
3%
45-49
<1%
50-54
3%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 71%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.9%
15-19 5%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
<5
$921 거래량
71%
5-9
$163 거래량
27%
10-14
$230 거래량
19%
15-19
$320 거래량
5%
20-24
$271 거래량
4%
25-29
$376 거래량
1%
30-34
$469 거래량
3%
35-39
$362 거래량
3%
40-44
$464 거래량
3%
45-49
$545 거래량
<1%
50-54
$651 거래량
3%
55-59
$648 거래량
<1%
60+
$1,135 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$6,555종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$6,555종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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