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네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?

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네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?

11% 확률
Polymarket

$13,916 거래량

11% 확률
Polymarket

$13,916 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Kurdistan Region President Nechirvan Barzani remains firmly in office, with trader consensus at 88.8% implying "No" on his departure driven by his active leadership amid regional tensions. In the past week, he issued a statement commemorating the Anfal genocide on April 13 and welcomed the Washington-Tehran ceasefire on April 9, underscoring KRG neutrality. Earlier in March, Barzani presided over high-level security meetings, urged Kurdish unity against escalation risks, and held talks with Turkish President Erdogan and Syrian officials. No official announcements, parliamentary votes, or credible reports signal resignation, removal, or successor discussions, despite ongoing post-2024 election deadlock delaying KRG government formation. His four-year term, renewable once since 2019, faces no immediate constitutional challenges, bolstering stability in this skin-in-the-game assessment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$13,916
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Kurdistan Region President Nechirvan Barzani remains firmly in office, with trader consensus at 88.8% implying "No" on his departure driven by his active leadership amid regional tensions. In the past week, he issued a statement commemorating the Anfal genocide on April 13 and welcomed the Washington-Tehran ceasefire on April 9, underscoring KRG neutrality. Earlier in March, Barzani presided over high-level security meetings, urged Kurdish unity against escalation risks, and held talks with Turkish President Erdogan and Syrian officials. No official announcements, parliamentary votes, or credible reports signal resignation, removal, or successor discussions, despite ongoing post-2024 election deadlock delaying KRG government formation. His four-year term, renewable once since 2019, faces no immediate constitutional challenges, bolstering stability in this skin-in-the-game assessment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$13,916
종료일
2026.06.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 11%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 11¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 11%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?"은 총 $13.9K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 6, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 11%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 11%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"네치르반 바르자니 (Nechirvan Barzani) 가 쿠르드 지방정부 대통령으로 취임했다고요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.