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Precipitation in London in April?

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Precipitation in London in April?

4월 30

4월 30

<20mm 63.3%

40-50mm 16.8%

30-40mm 11%

20-30mm 7.7%

Polymarket
신규

<20mm 63.3%

40-50mm 16.8%

30-40mm 11%

20-30mm 7.7%

Polymarket
신규

<20mm

$2,212 거래량

63%

20-30mm

$647 거래량

8%

30-40mm

$1,084 거래량

11%

40-50mm

$863 거래량

17%

50-60mm

$1,817 거래량

4%

60-70mm

$774 거래량

2%

70mm+

$1,102 거래량

3%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high pressure dominating southeast England has delivered exceptionally dry conditions in London through mid-April 2026, with official monitoring stations recording just 3 mm of precipitation by April 14—only 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month. This follows a wet winter but aligns with Met Office summaries noting below-average rainfall in central and southern England for early April (1-2 mm for week 1-7, 3-4% of long-term average). Record highs near 26°C on April 8 further indicate settled anticyclonic weather suppressing showers. Forecast model consensus from the Met Office points to low precipitation risk for the remaining fortnight, though isolated Atlantic fronts could introduce minor variability. Trader sentiment, pricing <20 mm at 63% implied probability, reflects this observational data and outlook, against historical April norms around 42-47 mm. Weekly updates from monitoring agencies will refine end-month trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,497
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high pressure dominating southeast England has delivered exceptionally dry conditions in London through mid-April 2026, with official monitoring stations recording just 3 mm of precipitation by April 14—only 7% of the 42 mm climatological average for the month. This follows a wet winter but aligns with Met Office summaries noting below-average rainfall in central and southern England for early April (1-2 mm for week 1-7, 3-4% of long-term average). Record highs near 26°C on April 8 further indicate settled anticyclonic weather suppressing showers. Forecast model consensus from the Met Office points to low precipitation risk for the remaining fortnight, though isolated Atlantic fronts could introduce minor variability. Trader sentiment, pricing <20 mm at 63% implied probability, reflects this observational data and outlook, against historical April norms around 42-47 mm. Weekly updates from monitoring agencies will refine end-month trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,497
종료일
2026.04.30
마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Precipitation in London in April?"은 7개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 63%의 "<20mm"이며, 이어서 17%의 "40-50mm"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 63¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 63%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Precipitation in London in April?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Mar 24, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Precipitation in London in April?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 7개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Precipitation in London in April?"의 현재 유력 후보는 63%의 "<20mm"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 63%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 17%의 "40-50mm"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Precipitation in London in April?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.