US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, conducting a surgical raid in Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on US drug and weapons indictments, before swiftly withdrawing with no ongoing troop presence confirmed by the Defense Department. Trader sentiment on a subsequent entry hinges on post-raid instability, including Maduro loyalist resistance and the unresolved Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, where US military buildup continues in the Caribbean alongside 15,000 troops regionally. The US embassy's reopening in Caracas on March 30 signals diplomatic thawing over escalation, with no major military developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming International Court of Justice proceedings on Essequibo and Maduro's US trial could influence intervention risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,281,982 거래량
2026.01.31
6월 30일
10%
$1,281,982 거래량
6월 30일
$197,219 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, conducting a surgical raid in Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on US drug and weapons indictments, before swiftly withdrawing with no ongoing troop presence confirmed by the Defense Department. Trader sentiment on a subsequent entry hinges on post-raid instability, including Maduro loyalist resistance and the unresolved Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, where US military buildup continues in the Caribbean alongside 15,000 troops regionally. The US embassy's reopening in Caracas on March 30 signals diplomatic thawing over escalation, with no major military developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming International Court of Justice proceedings on Essequibo and Maduro's US trial could influence intervention risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
거래량
$1,281,982종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, conducting a surgical raid in Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on US drug and weapons indictments, before swiftly withdrawing with no ongoing troop presence confirmed by the Defense Department. Trader sentiment on a subsequent entry hinges on post-raid instability, including Maduro loyalist resistance and the unresolved Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, where US military buildup continues in the Caribbean alongside 15,000 troops regionally. The US embassy's reopening in Caracas on March 30 signals diplomatic thawing over escalation, with no major military developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming International Court of Justice proceedings on Essequibo and Maduro's US trial could influence intervention risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,281,982종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, conducting a surgical raid in Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on US drug and weapons indictments, before swiftly withdrawing with no ongoing troop presence confirmed by the Defense Department. Trader sentiment on a subsequent entry hinges on post-raid instability, including Maduro loyalist resistance and the unresolved Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, where US military buildup continues in the Caribbean alongside 15,000 troops regionally. The US embassy's reopening in Caracas on March 30 signals diplomatic thawing over escalation, with no major military developments in the past 30 days. Upcoming International Court of Justice proceedings on Essequibo and Maduro's US trial could influence intervention risks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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