High-level US-Cuba negotiations, confirmed by both sides in mid-March 2026, continue amid Cuba's severe energy crisis triggered by the Trump administration's oil import blockade following the January capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Cuba offered an economic cooperation roadmap on April 1, signaling openness to sanctions relief, trade easing, or energy deals, but firmly rejected US demands for President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation. Recent US statements affirm talks at the highest levels, yet April 15 reports of accelerated Pentagon contingency planning for potential military operations underscore escalating tensions. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on slim prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on tariffs, embargo adjustments, or restrictions by April 30 or June 30, with diplomatic breakthroughs hinging on Cuban concessions before deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$125,634 거래량
2026.06.30
4월 30일
5%
6월 30일
30%
$125,634 거래량
4월 30일
$69,394 거래량
5%
6월 30일
$56,241 거래량
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-level US-Cuba negotiations, confirmed by both sides in mid-March 2026, continue amid Cuba's severe energy crisis triggered by the Trump administration's oil import blockade following the January capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Cuba offered an economic cooperation roadmap on April 1, signaling openness to sanctions relief, trade easing, or energy deals, but firmly rejected US demands for President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation. Recent US statements affirm talks at the highest levels, yet April 15 reports of accelerated Pentagon contingency planning for potential military operations underscore escalating tensions. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on slim prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on tariffs, embargo adjustments, or restrictions by April 30 or June 30, with diplomatic breakthroughs hinging on Cuban concessions before deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
거래량
$125,634종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.High-level US-Cuba negotiations, confirmed by both sides in mid-March 2026, continue amid Cuba's severe energy crisis triggered by the Trump administration's oil import blockade following the January capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Cuba offered an economic cooperation roadmap on April 1, signaling openness to sanctions relief, trade easing, or energy deals, but firmly rejected US demands for President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation. Recent US statements affirm talks at the highest levels, yet April 15 reports of accelerated Pentagon contingency planning for potential military operations underscore escalating tensions. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on slim prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on tariffs, embargo adjustments, or restrictions by April 30 or June 30, with diplomatic breakthroughs hinging on Cuban concessions before deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
거래량
$125,634종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...High-level US-Cuba negotiations, confirmed by both sides in mid-March 2026, continue amid Cuba's severe energy crisis triggered by the Trump administration's oil import blockade following the January capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Cuba offered an economic cooperation roadmap on April 1, signaling openness to sanctions relief, trade easing, or energy deals, but firmly rejected US demands for President Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation. Recent US statements affirm talks at the highest levels, yet April 15 reports of accelerated Pentagon contingency planning for potential military operations underscore escalating tensions. Traders weigh the wisdom of crowds on slim prospects for a publicly announced mutual agreement on tariffs, embargo adjustments, or restrictions by April 30 or June 30, with diplomatic breakthroughs hinging on Cuban concessions before deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문