Trader consensus heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at over 90% implied probability following credible reports of a private phone call with President Trump the day before the April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire announcement, amid efforts to stabilize the region. No confirmed verbal interactions have surfaced for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (37%), Vladimir Putin (28%), or Xi Jinping (17%), reflecting limited public diplomacy on Ukraine or China amid focus on Middle East ceasefires and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump held a 40-minute call with India's Narendra Modi on April 15 discussing West Asia stability, though Modi is not a market outcome. With the market resolving April 30 based on consensus reporting of in-person, phone, or video talks from April 1, remaining days could see shifts via late-breaking diplomatic engagements or Iran negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$207,245 거래량

무함마드 빈 살만
89%

볼로디미르 젤렌스키
32%

아흐메드 알-샤라
35%

블라디미르 푸틴
26%

우르줄라 폰 데어 라이엔
18%

일론 머스크
24%

시진핑
17%

룰라 다 시우바
15%

마리아 코리나 마차도
10%

레자 팔라비
7%

마수드 페제쉬키안
6%

김정은
2%

니콜라스 마두로
2%

윤석열
1%
$207,245 거래량

무함마드 빈 살만
89%

볼로디미르 젤렌스키
32%

아흐메드 알-샤라
35%

블라디미르 푸틴
26%

우르줄라 폰 데어 라이엔
18%

일론 머스크
24%

시진핑
17%

룰라 다 시우바
15%

마리아 코리나 마차도
10%

레자 팔라비
7%

마수드 페제쉬키안
6%

김정은
2%

니콜라스 마두로
2%

윤석열
1%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at over 90% implied probability following credible reports of a private phone call with President Trump the day before the April 16 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire announcement, amid efforts to stabilize the region. No confirmed verbal interactions have surfaced for other listed figures like Volodymyr Zelenskyy (37%), Vladimir Putin (28%), or Xi Jinping (17%), reflecting limited public diplomacy on Ukraine or China amid focus on Middle East ceasefires and Strait of Hormuz security. Trump held a 40-minute call with India's Narendra Modi on April 15 discussing West Asia stability, though Modi is not a market outcome. With the market resolving April 30 based on consensus reporting of in-person, phone, or video talks from April 1, remaining days could see shifts via late-breaking diplomatic engagements or Iran negotiations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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