Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating a maximum of 19°C amid sunny periods, light westerly breezes, and low precipitation risk (20%), following today's observed 17°C high that exceeded April climatological norms of 13–14°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models (3–5°C range) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover variability and coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peak insolation and boundary layer heating at Schiphol Airport station—the market's resolution point. Overnight model runs and early morning observations will refine probabilities before afternoon peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 40%
19°C 32%
20°C 16%
17°C 8%
NOVO
$13,942 Vol.
NOVO
$13,942 Vol.
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
40%
19°C
32%
20°C
16%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 32%
20°C 16%
17°C 8%
NOVO
$13,942 Vol.
NOVO
$13,942 Vol.
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,258 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,627 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,676 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,960 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,789 Vol.
8%
18°C
$358 Vol.
40%
19°C
$547 Vol.
32%
20°C
$181 Vol.
16%
21°C
$941 Vol.
6%
22°C or higher
$1,277 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating a maximum of 19°C amid sunny periods, light westerly breezes, and low precipitation risk (20%), following today's observed 17°C high that exceeded April climatological norms of 13–14°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models (3–5°C range) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover variability and coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peak insolation and boundary layer heating at Schiphol Airport station—the market's resolution point. Overnight model runs and early morning observations will refine probabilities before afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$13,942Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating a maximum of 19°C amid sunny periods, light westerly breezes, and low precipitation risk (20%), following today's observed 17°C high that exceeded April climatological norms of 13–14°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models (3–5°C range) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover variability and coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peak insolation and boundary layer heating at Schiphol Airport station—the market's resolution point. Overnight model runs and early morning observations will refine probabilities before afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,942Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (39.5%) and 19°C (33.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest KNMI forecast indicating a maximum of 19°C amid sunny periods, light westerly breezes, and low precipitation risk (20%), following today's observed 17°C high that exceeded April climatological norms of 13–14°C. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models (3–5°C range) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover variability and coastal sea breeze timing, which could cap peak insolation and boundary layer heating at Schiphol Airport station—the market's resolution point. Overnight model runs and early morning observations will refine probabilities before afternoon peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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