Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts project highs near 23–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus with 25°C (27.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (21.5%). This close clustering stems from ensemble model spread in the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), where minor differences in cloud cover, sea breeze penetration from the Río de la Plata, and boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have supported a warmer-than-average April trend (historical highs ~22°C), but inherent short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final SMN updates and observational data on April 16.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 29%
25°C 28%
26°C 22%
23°C 13%
$16,482 Vol.
$16,482 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 29%
25°C 28%
26°C 22%
23°C 13%
$16,482 Vol.
$16,482 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts project highs near 23–25°C for Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies, anchoring trader consensus with 25°C (27.5% implied probability) edging out 24°C (24.5%) and 26°C (21.5%). This close clustering stems from ensemble model spread in the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), where minor differences in cloud cover, sea breeze penetration from the Río de la Plata, and boundary layer mixing could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Neutral ENSO conditions have supported a warmer-than-average April trend (historical highs ~22°C), but inherent short-term forecast uncertainty persists ahead of final SMN updates and observational data on April 16.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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