Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17, with 28°C and 29°C each at 31% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 28°C. AccuWeather projects a 30°C peak under sunny to partly cloudy skies, while other sources like timeanddate.com indicate 28°C with partial cloudiness, highlighting model spread from variable afternoon cloud development and light winds enhancing diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin. Yesterday's overcast 24°C high underscores the warming trend, but inherent forecast divergence—typical for spring basins—keeps 27°C viable at 18%; watch overnight model updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 17?
28°C 33%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
26°C 10%
$15,903 Vol.
$15,903 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
19%
28°C
33%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 33%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
26°C 10%
$15,903 Vol.
$15,903 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
19%
28°C
33%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 17, with 28°C and 29°C each at 31% implied probability, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 28°C. AccuWeather projects a 30°C peak under sunny to partly cloudy skies, while other sources like timeanddate.com indicate 28°C with partial cloudiness, highlighting model spread from variable afternoon cloud development and light winds enhancing diurnal heating in the Sichuan Basin. Yesterday's overcast 24°C high underscores the warming trend, but inherent forecast divergence—typical for spring basins—keeps 27°C viable at 18%; watch overnight model updates and airport observations at Chengdu Shuangliu International for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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