Trader consensus on Polymarket implies around 9-10 magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes globally for April 13-19, with >9 at 35.5% leading due to the historical USGS average of roughly 10-12 such events per week amid steady plate tectonic activity. As of April 16, USGS real-time catalog records at least five M5.5+ quakes—including a 5.5 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14 that shook the region, a 5.5 in the Northern Mariana Islands on April 13, and others off Africa and Costa Rica—setting a typical early-week pace with three days remaining. Seismic rates follow Poisson statistics with inherent variability from subduction zones and faults; no unusual swarms noted, but ongoing USGS monitoring could capture aftershocks or new events shifting tallies before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuantos sismos de 5,5 ou mais de 13 de abril a 19 de abril?
Quantos sismos de 5,5 ou mais de 13 de abril a 19 de abril?
>9 37%
9 18%
8 16%
7 12%
$112,087 Vol.
$112,087 Vol.
19 abr 2026
≤3
<1%
4
2%
5
7%
6
10%
7
12%
8
16%
9
18%
>9
37%
>9 37%
9 18%
8 16%
7 12%
$112,087 Vol.
$112,087 Vol.
19 abr 2026
≤3
$73,114 Vol.
<1%
4
$7,418 Vol.
2%
5
$3,120 Vol.
7%
6
$1,374 Vol.
10%
7
$1,967 Vol.
12%
8
$2,838 Vol.
16%
9
$1,722 Vol.
18%
>9
$20,535 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies around 9-10 magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes globally for April 13-19, with >9 at 35.5% leading due to the historical USGS average of roughly 10-12 such events per week amid steady plate tectonic activity. As of April 16, USGS real-time catalog records at least five M5.5+ quakes—including a 5.5 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14 that shook the region, a 5.5 in the Northern Mariana Islands on April 13, and others off Africa and Costa Rica—setting a typical early-week pace with three days remaining. Seismic rates follow Poisson statistics with inherent variability from subduction zones and faults; no unusual swarms noted, but ongoing USGS monitoring could capture aftershocks or new events shifting tallies before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$112,087Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies around 9-10 magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes globally for April 13-19, with >9 at 35.5% leading due to the historical USGS average of roughly 10-12 such events per week amid steady plate tectonic activity. As of April 16, USGS real-time catalog records at least five M5.5+ quakes—including a 5.5 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14 that shook the region, a 5.5 in the Northern Mariana Islands on April 13, and others off Africa and Costa Rica—setting a typical early-week pace with three days remaining. Seismic rates follow Poisson statistics with inherent variability from subduction zones and faults; no unusual swarms noted, but ongoing USGS monitoring could capture aftershocks or new events shifting tallies before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$112,087Data de Término
19 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies around 9-10 magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes globally for April 13-19, with >9 at 35.5% leading due to the historical USGS average of roughly 10-12 such events per week amid steady plate tectonic activity. As of April 16, USGS real-time catalog records at least five M5.5+ quakes—including a 5.5 near Silver Springs, Nevada on April 14 that shook the region, a 5.5 in the Northern Mariana Islands on April 13, and others off Africa and Costa Rica—setting a typical early-week pace with three days remaining. Seismic rates follow Poisson statistics with inherent variability from subduction zones and faults; no unusual swarms noted, but ongoing USGS monitoring could capture aftershocks or new events shifting tallies before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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