Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas anchors the race in California's 52nd congressional district, where recent voter-approved redistricting under Proposition 50 further tilted the lines toward Democratic-leaning voters. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 91 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and historical performance in similar California districts. A major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected primary upset, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-52 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-52 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$42,150 Объем
$42,150 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
91%
Республиканская партия
6%
$42,150 Объем
$42,150 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$31,712 Объем
91%
Республиканская партия
$10,438 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas anchors the race in California's 52nd congressional district, where recent voter-approved redistricting under Proposition 50 further tilted the lines toward Democratic-leaning voters. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 91 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and historical performance in similar California districts. A major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected primary upset, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$42,150Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas anchors the race in California's 52nd congressional district, where recent voter-approved redistricting under Proposition 50 further tilted the lines toward Democratic-leaning voters. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 91 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and historical performance in similar California districts. A major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected primary upset, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,150Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Juan Vargas anchors the race in California's 52nd congressional district, where recent voter-approved redistricting under Proposition 50 further tilted the lines toward Democratic-leaning voters. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and the absence of a competitive Republican challenger ahead of the June 2 primary and November general election. Trader consensus at 91 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and historical performance in similar California districts. A major scandal involving the incumbent, an unexpected primary upset, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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