Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st congressional district race, backed by the district’s Republican tilt, his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million, and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his party’s nomination in August with 50.4 percent against Bernard Taylor. The general election on November 3 features additional minor candidates but occurs in a district where Mast previously won 61.8 percent in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican assessment and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s baseline partisanship and Mast’s incumbency present significant barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-21
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-21
$15,656 Объем
$15,656 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Брайан Маст (Р)
91%
Джеймс Мартин (Д)
9%
$15,656 Объем
$15,656 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Брайан Маст (Р)
$9,240 Объем
91%
Джеймс Мартин (Д)
$6,416 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st congressional district race, backed by the district’s Republican tilt, his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million, and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his party’s nomination in August with 50.4 percent against Bernard Taylor. The general election on November 3 features additional minor candidates but occurs in a district where Mast previously won 61.8 percent in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican assessment and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s baseline partisanship and Mast’s incumbency present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$15,656Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st congressional district race, backed by the district’s Republican tilt, his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million, and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his party’s nomination in August with 50.4 percent against Bernard Taylor. The general election on November 3 features additional minor candidates but occurs in a district where Mast previously won 61.8 percent in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican assessment and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s baseline partisanship and Mast’s incumbency present significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$15,656Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st congressional district race, backed by the district’s Republican tilt, his consistent fundraising advantage exceeding $4 million, and multiple forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his party’s nomination in August with 50.4 percent against Bernard Taylor. The general election on November 3 features additional minor candidates but occurs in a district where Mast previously won 61.8 percent in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, including the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican assessment and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. Late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the district’s baseline partisanship and Mast’s incumbency present significant barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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