Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 42%
18°C 27%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$15,183 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,183 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
27%
19°C
42%
20°C
15%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 42%
18°C 27%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$15,183 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,183 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$2,289 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,032 Объем
<1%
14°C
$615 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,627 Объем
1%
16°C
$1,826 Объем
1%
17°C
$2,042 Объем
6%
18°C
$1,089 Объем
27%
19°C
$1,132 Объем
42%
20°C
$743 Объем
15%
21°C
$1,115 Объем
4%
22°C or higher
$671 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$15,183Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$15,183Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы