Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
15°C 30%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C or higher 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
9%
12°C
12%
13°C
12%
14°C
21%
15°C
30%
16°C
28%
17°C or higher
20%
15°C 30%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C or higher 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
7°C or below
$301 Объем
<1%
8°C
$348 Объем
3%
9°C
$408 Объем
3%
10°C
$728 Объем
3%
11°C
$44 Объем
9%
12°C
$71 Объем
12%
13°C
$51 Объем
12%
14°C
$57 Объем
21%
15°C
$82 Объем
30%
16°C
$53 Объем
28%
17°C or higher
$221 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Объем
$2,365Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,365Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 15°C (32% implied probability) and 16°C (26%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 1, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, aligned with Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, which project daytime highs near 14-15°C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers. This positioning stems from lingering effects of a recent cool air mass and upper-level trough that suppressed March temperatures, including a sharp cooldown from 16°C highs on March 28. Differentiating factors include variability in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 14°C (17.5%), while brief clearing might allow 16-17°C. New model runs expected every 12 hours will sharpen uncertainty as the event nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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