Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's April 1 high temperature, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes around 21–25°C amid divergent runs showing potential for slight warming or cooling. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's diurnal heating is moderated by thin air and frequent afternoon clouds, while historical April 1 highs average 24–25°C based on decades of Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), rarely exceeding 28°C. Recent March trends featured mild highs of 21–26°C under high-pressure influence, but northerly winds or incoming fronts could suppress peaks. Watch daily SMN updates through March 31 for refined guidance on steering patterns and cloud cover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 1?
23°C 24%
22°C 13.6%
25°C 13%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C или ниже
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
11%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C или выше
2%
23°C 24%
22°C 13.6%
25°C 13%
21°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
18°C или ниже
$131 Объем
5%
19°C
$0 Объем
7%
20°C
$0 Объем
10%
21°C
$0 Объем
13%
22°C
$60 Объем
14%
23°C
$440 Объем
24%
24°C
$156 Объем
18%
25°C
$132 Объем
11%
26°C
$44 Объем
11%
27°C
$0 Объем
6%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's April 1 high temperature, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes around 21–25°C amid divergent runs showing potential for slight warming or cooling. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's diurnal heating is moderated by thin air and frequent afternoon clouds, while historical April 1 highs average 24–25°C based on decades of Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), rarely exceeding 28°C. Recent March trends featured mild highs of 21–26°C under high-pressure influence, but northerly winds or incoming fronts could suppress peaks. Watch daily SMN updates through March 31 for refined guidance on steering patterns and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$964Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's April 1 high temperature, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes around 21–25°C amid divergent runs showing potential for slight warming or cooling. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's diurnal heating is moderated by thin air and frequent afternoon clouds, while historical April 1 highs average 24–25°C based on decades of Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), rarely exceeding 28°C. Recent March trends featured mild highs of 21–26°C under high-pressure influence, but northerly winds or incoming fronts could suppress peaks. Watch daily SMN updates through March 31 for refined guidance on steering patterns and cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$964Дата окончания
Apr 1, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 28, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's April 1 high temperature, with models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering outcomes around 21–25°C amid divergent runs showing potential for slight warming or cooling. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's diurnal heating is moderated by thin air and frequent afternoon clouds, while historical April 1 highs average 24–25°C based on decades of Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX), rarely exceeding 28°C. Recent March trends featured mild highs of 21–26°C under high-pressure influence, but northerly winds or incoming fronts could suppress peaks. Watch daily SMN updates through March 31 for refined guidance on steering patterns and cloud cover.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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