Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a Dallas high temperature clustered in the 68–73°F range on April 6, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models showing a weak upper-level trough lingering over the Southern Plains, capping highs below the early April climatological average of about 75°F. Recent 12Z model runs yesterday refined this outlook, with minor divergences in cloud cover persistence and timing of diurnal boundary-layer mixing differentiating the closely matched 68–69°F (18%), 70–71°F (18.5%), and 72–73°F (25.5%) outcomes—faster afternoon clearing could push toward 73°F, while sustained stratus favors the lower end. Key uncertainties include frontal boundary positioning and soil moisture feedback from prior rains; watch for afternoon NWS updates and evening model refreshes that could shift the balance.