AEMET's latest forecast pins Madrid's April 15 maximum at 23°C under clear skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and 0% precipitation risk, yet trader sentiment favors 24°C at 42% implied probability due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models hinting at 24-25°C peaks during 12-18h afternoon heating. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings above airport stations, variable boundary layer mixing from winds, and insolation potential if high clouds thin; above-normal warmth persists from a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeding April historical averages of 18-19°C. Hourly observations will clarify resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 15?
24°C 42%
23°C 34%
25°C 21%
22°C 3.5%
$34,437 Объем
$34,437 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
34%
24°C
42%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 34%
25°C 21%
22°C 3.5%
$34,437 Объем
$34,437 Объем
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
34%
24°C
42%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest forecast pins Madrid's April 15 maximum at 23°C under clear skies, northerly winds at 15 km/h, and 0% precipitation risk, yet trader sentiment favors 24°C at 42% implied probability due to ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS models hinting at 24-25°C peaks during 12-18h afternoon heating. Key differentiators include urban heat island effects elevating city-center readings above airport stations, variable boundary layer mixing from winds, and insolation potential if high clouds thin; above-normal warmth persists from a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeding April historical averages of 18-19°C. Hourly observations will clarify resolution by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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