Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 4?
26°C 41%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
41%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
28°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$369 Объем
<1%
22°C
$245 Объем
<1%
23°C
$415 Объем
6%
24°C
$647 Объем
6%
25°C
$294 Объем
24%
26°C
$295 Объем
41%
27°C
$306 Объем
24%
28°C
$242 Объем
8%
29°C
$454 Объем
3%
30°C
$419 Объем
1%
31°C or higher
$631 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$4,132Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,132Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF models, and Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance project Mexico City's highest temperature on April 4 clustering tightly around 25–27°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 26°C and 27°C as leading outcomes. Recent arrival of Frente Frío 43 has introduced partial cloud cover and low precipitation risk, tempering potential highs from March's record warmth while preventing deeper cooling below 25°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon insolation—clearer skies could push toward 27°C via enhanced solar heating at 2,240-meter elevation, versus increased frontal clouds favoring 25–26°C. SMN's daily bulletin and overnight model updates tomorrow will likely refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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