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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?

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24°C 31%

25°C 26%

23°C 20%

26°C 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

24°C 31%

25°C 26%

23°C 20%

26°C 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

21°C or below

$164 Объем

6%

22°C

$204 Объем

14%

23°C

$203 Объем

20%

24°C

$174 Объем

31%

25°C

$151 Объем

26%

26°C

$149 Объем

15%

27°C

$156 Объем

7%

28°C

$152 Объем

3%

29°C

$171 Объем

1%

30°C

$536 Объем

1%

31°C or higher

$560 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,610
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 22–26°C outcomes for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from models like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs near 23–25°C under current upper-level high pressure. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits diurnal heating despite early April's dry season climatology averaging 26°C highs, with recent days (April 1–2) cooler at 22–24°C due to light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating solar insolation. Key differentiators include potential afternoon convection boosting clouds to cap at 22°C or clearer skies allowing 26°C; official measurements at Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and fresh model runs by April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,610
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «24°C» с 31%, за ним следует «25°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?» — «24°C» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «25°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.