Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Milan high near 15°C (30% implied probability), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 14-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild, settled conditions to northern Italy. This edges out 14°C (25%) and 17°C (21.5%), as model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds—clearer skies could push toward 17°C, while afternoon showers might cap at 13-14°C. Historical late-March norms average 13-15°C, but urban heat island effects in Milan amplify peaks by 1-2°C; upcoming 12Z model runs will be pivotal for refining these closely matched odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 23 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 23 марта?
15°C 30%
14°C 25%
17°C 22%
13°C 19%
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
25%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C
11%
20°C или выше
14%
15°C 30%
14°C 25%
17°C 22%
13°C 19%
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
25%
15°C
30%
16°C
18%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C
11%
20°C или выше
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Milan high near 15°C (30% implied probability), driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 14-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing mild, settled conditions to northern Italy. This edges out 14°C (25%) and 17°C (21.5%), as model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds—clearer skies could push toward 17°C, while afternoon showers might cap at 13-14°C. Historical late-March norms average 13-15°C, but urban heat island effects in Milan amplify peaks by 1-2°C; upcoming 12Z model runs will be pivotal for refining these closely matched odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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