The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (SFO)—the market's resolution point—projects a sunny day on April 3 with a high near 72°F under light winds shifting west in the afternoon, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for 72°F or higher. This positioning stems from a rebuilding high-pressure ridge over California following yesterday's cold front, which delivered just 0.07 inches of rain and dropped temperatures to seasonal norms before clearing rapidly overnight. Current observations show overnight lows around 52–57°F, setting up efficient daytime heating above the April climatological average of 63°F, with model ensembles showing minimal marine layer intrusion. The 17% odds on 70–71°F reflect potential moderation from afternoon sea breezes, while real-time Automated Surface Observing System data at SFO will drive intraday shifts toward market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 75%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 1.5%
62-63°F <1%
$31,479 Объем
$31,479 Объем
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
75%
72°F or higher 75%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 1.5%
62-63°F <1%
$31,479 Объем
$31,479 Объем
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
18%
72°F or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for San Francisco International Airport (SFO)—the market's resolution point—projects a sunny day on April 3 with a high near 72°F under light winds shifting west in the afternoon, fueling trader consensus at 75% implied probability for 72°F or higher. This positioning stems from a rebuilding high-pressure ridge over California following yesterday's cold front, which delivered just 0.07 inches of rain and dropped temperatures to seasonal norms before clearing rapidly overnight. Current observations show overnight lows around 52–57°F, setting up efficient daytime heating above the April climatological average of 63°F, with model ensembles showing minimal marine layer intrusion. The 17% odds on 70–71°F reflect potential moderation from afternoon sea breezes, while real-time Automated Surface Observing System data at SFO will drive intraday shifts toward market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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