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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?

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Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?

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78°F or higher 51%

76-77°F 28%

74-75°F 18%

72-73°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

78°F or higher 51%

76-77°F 28%

74-75°F 18%

72-73°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

59°F or below

$350 Объем

<1%

60-61°F

$305 Объем

<1%

62-63°F

$250 Объем

<1%

64-65°F

$385 Объем

1%

66-67°F

$1,067 Объем

<1%

68-69°F

$90 Объем

3%

70-71°F

$144 Объем

7%

72-73°F

$136 Объем

16%

74-75°F

$141 Объем

17%

76-77°F

$129 Объем

28%

78°F or higher

$282 Объем

51%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 78°F or higher at 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting upper-70s highs near San Francisco International Airport—the market's resolution station—under strengthening high pressure. A recent cold front delivered rain and cooler air through April 2, but offshore flow and clear skies are now promoting adiabatic warming and suppressing the typical marine layer, pushing temperatures 10-15°F above the April climatological average of 64°F. This aligns with California’s record-shattering warm March 2026, where persistent ridging amplified early-season heat. Ensemble models like GFS show consensus for continued warmth, though daily updates could adjust for any renewed coastal stratus; monitor NWS advisories through April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,278
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 78°F or higher at 51.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts projecting upper-70s highs near San Francisco International Airport—the market's resolution station—under strengthening high pressure. A recent cold front delivered rain and cooler air through April 2, but offshore flow and clear skies are now promoting adiabatic warming and suppressing the typical marine layer, pushing temperatures 10-15°F above the April climatological average of 64°F. This aligns with California’s record-shattering warm March 2026, where persistent ridging amplified early-season heat. Ensemble models like GFS show consensus for continued warmth, though daily updates could adjust for any renewed coastal stratus; monitor NWS advisories through April 4 for shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,278
Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «78°F or higher» с 51%, за ним следует «76-77°F» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 51¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 51%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?» — «78°F or higher» с 51%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 51%. Следующий ближайший исход — «76-77°F» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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