Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecast models like ECMWF and GFS shows Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 converging around 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds, explaining the tight trader split with 20°C at 34.5% and 21°C at 29.0% implied probabilities. This reflects mild spring conditions following earlier April rains that suppressed highs to 15-18°C in prior days, with current upper-air patterns limiting convective heating. Key differentiators include potential variability in afternoon cloud breaks allowing slight additional warming to 21°C versus overcast persistence holding at 20°C, alongside Shanghai's urban heat island effect at the Xujiahui observatory. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore short-range uncertainty, with final CMA updates expected today ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 апреля?
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 18%
22°C 12.8%
НОВОЕ
$25,429 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,429 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
18%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
13%
23°C или выше
5%
20°C 34%
21°C 31%
19°C 18%
22°C 12.8%
НОВОЕ
$25,429 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,429 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$3,670 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,972 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,048 Объем
<1%
16°C
$2,623 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,432 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,847 Объем
5%
19°C
$1,720 Объем
18%
20°C
$1,895 Объем
34%
21°C
$1,413 Объем
31%
22°C
$2,100 Объем
13%
23°C или выше
$2,787 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecast models like ECMWF and GFS shows Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 converging around 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds, explaining the tight trader split with 20°C at 34.5% and 21°C at 29.0% implied probabilities. This reflects mild spring conditions following earlier April rains that suppressed highs to 15-18°C in prior days, with current upper-air patterns limiting convective heating. Key differentiators include potential variability in afternoon cloud breaks allowing slight additional warming to 21°C versus overcast persistence holding at 20°C, alongside Shanghai's urban heat island effect at the Xujiahui observatory. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore short-range uncertainty, with final CMA updates expected today ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$25,429Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecast models like ECMWF and GFS shows Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 converging around 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds, explaining the tight trader split with 20°C at 34.5% and 21°C at 29.0% implied probabilities. This reflects mild spring conditions following earlier April rains that suppressed highs to 15-18°C in prior days, with current upper-air patterns limiting convective heating. Key differentiators include potential variability in afternoon cloud breaks allowing slight additional warming to 21°C versus overcast persistence holding at 20°C, alongside Shanghai's urban heat island effect at the Xujiahui observatory. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore short-range uncertainty, with final CMA updates expected today ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,429Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and international forecast models like ECMWF and GFS shows Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 converging around 20-21°C under persistent cloudy skies and light northerly winds, explaining the tight trader split with 20°C at 34.5% and 21°C at 29.0% implied probabilities. This reflects mild spring conditions following earlier April rains that suppressed highs to 15-18°C in prior days, with current upper-air patterns limiting convective heating. Key differentiators include potential variability in afternoon cloud breaks allowing slight additional warming to 21°C versus overcast persistence holding at 20°C, alongside Shanghai's urban heat island effect at the Xujiahui observatory. Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore short-range uncertainty, with final CMA updates expected today ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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