Trader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHiçbir Şey Olmaz: Nisan
Hiçbir Şey Olmaz: Nisan
Hiçbir Şey
$25,788 Hac.
$25,788 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Hiçbir Şey
$25,788 Hac.
$25,788 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Hacim
$25,788Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdfTrader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200
- Fed decides any change in April
- US military action against Cuba
- Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
Hacim
$27,086Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "Nothing Ever Happens: April" market prices "Nothing" at 74.5%, reflecting the absence of triggering events through April 16 amid a relatively stable geopolitical and economic landscape. A fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire, mediated by Pakistan and announced April 8 following President Trump's threats, has held without US ground forces entering Iran or escalation to military action against Cuba, averting invasion risks despite prior airstrikes and a pivot to economic sanctions. WTI crude oil prices remain well below $200 per barrel, no Federal Reserve policy changes have been decided ahead of the late-April FOMC meeting, and no arrests have occurred over Epstein disclosures. With half the resolution window to April 30 elapsed uneventfully, crowdsourced odds imply low probability of late-month catalysts shifting the outcome.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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