Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in Arkansas’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, which delivered Westerman 73 percent of the vote in 2024, features large rural areas across southern and western Arkansas with consistent conservative voting patterns. Westerman’s primary went uncontested while Russell prevailed in a close Democratic primary in March. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical margins and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the primaries. Late shifts could arise only from unusually low Republican turnout, a significant national political realignment, or an unforeseen personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAR-04 House Election Winner
AR-04 House Election Winner
$15,830 KL.
$15,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$15,830 KL.
$15,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,581 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$6,248 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in Arkansas’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, which delivered Westerman 73 percent of the vote in 2024, features large rural areas across southern and western Arkansas with consistent conservative voting patterns. Westerman’s primary went uncontested while Russell prevailed in a close Democratic primary in March. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical margins and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the primaries. Late shifts could arise only from unusually low Republican turnout, a significant national political realignment, or an unforeseen personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in Arkansas’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, which delivered Westerman 73 percent of the vote in 2024, features large rural areas across southern and western Arkansas with consistent conservative voting patterns. Westerman’s primary went uncontested while Russell prevailed in a close Democratic primary in March. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical margins and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the primaries. Late shifts could arise only from unusually low Republican turnout, a significant national political realignment, or an unforeseen personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman faces Democrat James Russell in Arkansas’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The solidly Republican district, which delivered Westerman 73 percent of the vote in 2024, features large rural areas across southern and western Arkansas with consistent conservative voting patterns. Westerman’s primary went uncontested while Russell prevailed in a close Democratic primary in March. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s historical margins and the absence of competitive polling or major developments since the primaries. Late shifts could arise only from unusually low Republican turnout, a significant national political realignment, or an unforeseen personal or legal issue affecting the incumbent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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