Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 at 19-21°C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus where 20°C leads at 29% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C (28%) and 19°C (25%). Over the past 24 hours, 12Z model runs show minimal divergence, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF, while uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover affecting solar insolation and diurnal heating. Historical mid-April data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service average 17°C highs, but recent warmer-than-normal trends have elevated expectations. Real-time observations from Ankara Esenboğa Airport and MGM updates will clarify the peak before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月16日安卡拉的最高溫度?
4月16日安卡拉的最高溫度?
20°C 29%
21°C 29%
19°C 20%
18°C 9%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
20%
20°C
29%
21°C
29%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 29%
21°C 29%
19°C 20%
18°C 9%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
20%
20°C
29%
21°C
29%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Ankara's highest temperature on April 16 at 19-21°C under partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus where 20°C leads at 29% implied probability, followed closely by 21°C (28%) and 19°C (25%). Over the past 24 hours, 12Z model runs show minimal divergence, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF, while uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover affecting solar insolation and diurnal heating. Historical mid-April data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service average 17°C highs, but recent warmer-than-normal trends have elevated expectations. Real-time observations from Ankara Esenboğa Airport and MGM updates will clarify the peak before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions