Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong 73% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August climatology places typical highs in the mid-teens Celsius under prevailing westerly flow and occasional high-pressure influence that limits warming; today’s stable conditions and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air. Shorter-range guidance shows consistency across runs, with only minor spread toward 19°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of rapid synoptic shifts this late in the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
18°C 98%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$15,598 交易量
$15,598 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
98%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98%
19°C 3%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$15,598 交易量
$15,598 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
98%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C for Buenos Aires on August 16, aligning with the market’s strong 73% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-August climatology places typical highs in the mid-teens Celsius under prevailing westerly flow and occasional high-pressure influence that limits warming; today’s stable conditions and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating without significant advection of warmer air. Shorter-range guidance shows consistency across runs, with only minor spread toward 19°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens slightly. Traders appear to weight official guidance heavily given the proximity to resolution and low likelihood of rapid synoptic shifts this late in the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions