Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 交易量
$82,493 交易量
2026-04-18
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 交易量
$82,493 交易量
2026-04-18
22°C or below
$3,215 交易量
No
23°C
$2,229 交易量
No
24°C
$2,381 交易量
No
25°C
$6,373 交易量
No
26°C
$5,539 交易量
No
27°C
$5,553 交易量
No
28°C
$8,885 交易量
No
29°C
$12,135 交易量
No
30°C
$11,590 交易量
Yes
31°C
$14,498 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$10,094 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$82,493結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,493結束日期
2026-04-18市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions