Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) confirm the highest temperature on April 26, 2026, reached only 59°F around midday, well below the 65°F threshold amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds from a cool air mass over the Midwest. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, projecting daytime highs near 55-62°F under overcast conditions and periods of light precipitation, as steering patterns funneled chilly Canadian air southward. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "65°F or below" reflects this verified ASOS measurement data, with negligible risk of revision given standardized airport station protocols. Only an anomalous post-hoc data correction from NWS could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes are rare for clear days. April normals hover near 63°F, underscoring the unseasonably cool conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on April 26?
65°F or below 100.0%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,657 交易量
$26,657 交易量
65°F or below
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
65°F or below 100.0%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$26,657 交易量
$26,657 交易量
65°F or below
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) confirm the highest temperature on April 26, 2026, reached only 59°F around midday, well below the 65°F threshold amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and gusty winds from a cool air mass over the Midwest. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, projecting daytime highs near 55-62°F under overcast conditions and periods of light precipitation, as steering patterns funneled chilly Canadian air southward. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "65°F or below" reflects this verified ASOS measurement data, with negligible risk of revision given standardized airport station protocols. Only an anomalous post-hoc data correction from NWS could challenge resolution, though historical precedents show such changes are rare for clear days. April normals hover near 63°F, underscoring the unseasonably cool conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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