Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with northwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies expected to limit afternoon heating in Chicago on August 24. Ensemble guidance and deterministic forecasts cluster around a daily maximum of 74–78 °F, comfortably below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, which has driven the market-implied odds toward the 76–79 °F bins. Light winds and limited moisture should prevent significant convective heating or lake-breeze moderation that might otherwise push readings higher, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing accounts for the modest probability mass on adjacent 2 °F intervals. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？
8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
華氏69度或以下
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 31%
74-75°F 12%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
華氏69度或以下
$72 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$93 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$73 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$253 交易量
12%
76-77°F
$364 交易量
43%
78-79°F
$160 交易量
31%
80-81°F
$200 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$91 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$36 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$40 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with northwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies expected to limit afternoon heating in Chicago on August 24. Ensemble guidance and deterministic forecasts cluster around a daily maximum of 74–78 °F, comfortably below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, which has driven the market-implied odds toward the 76–79 °F bins. Light winds and limited moisture should prevent significant convective heating or lake-breeze moderation that might otherwise push readings higher, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing accounts for the modest probability mass on adjacent 2 °F intervals. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,311結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with northwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies expected to limit afternoon heating in Chicago on August 24. Ensemble guidance and deterministic forecasts cluster around a daily maximum of 74–78 °F, comfortably below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, which has driven the market-implied odds toward the 76–79 °F bins. Light winds and limited moisture should prevent significant convective heating or lake-breeze moderation that might otherwise push readings higher, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing accounts for the modest probability mass on adjacent 2 °F intervals. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,311結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest, with northwesterly flow and mostly sunny skies expected to limit afternoon heating in Chicago on August 24. Ensemble guidance and deterministic forecasts cluster around a daily maximum of 74–78 °F, comfortably below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, which has driven the market-implied odds toward the 76–79 °F bins. Light winds and limited moisture should prevent significant convective heating or lake-breeze moderation that might otherwise push readings higher, while any slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing accounts for the modest probability mass on adjacent 2 °F intervals. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the next key input before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions