Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日芝加哥的最高溫度？
8月26日芝加哥的最高溫度？
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
75°F or below
$108 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$36 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$552 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$165 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$197 交易量
30%
84-85°F
$560 交易量
49%
86-87°F
$313 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$98 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$73 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$188 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,678結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,678結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 82–84°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by southwest winds advecting modestly warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary, with afternoon thunderstorm chances around 30–40% potentially limiting peak readings through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. This consensus aligns with late-August climatology (normal high ~81–82°F) and positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 29.5%. Lake moderation and limited instability keep odds for 86°F+ below 20%, while cooler outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected onshore flow shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions