Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 交易量
$106,351 交易量
2026-05-05
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 交易量
$106,351 交易量
2026-05-05
25°C or below
$9,116 交易量
No
26°C
$1,813 交易量
No
27°C
$3,359 交易量
No
28°C
$11,373 交易量
No
29°C
$7,284 交易量
No
30°C
$9,854 交易量
No
31°C
$11,429 交易量
Yes
32°C
$10,292 交易量
No
33°C
$18,134 交易量
No
34°C
$14,583 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$9,115 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$106,351結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$106,351結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions