Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 6?
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 交易量
$43,580 交易量
2026-05-06
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
Yes
29°C or higher 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$43,580 交易量
$43,580 交易量
2026-05-06
19°C or below
$5,771 交易量
No
20°C
$4,385 交易量
No
21°C
$2,074 交易量
No
22°C
$2,534 交易量
No
23°C
$2,839 交易量
No
24°C
$2,642 交易量
No
25°C
$4,534 交易量
No
26°C
$4,487 交易量
No
27°C
$5,159 交易量
No
28°C
$4,640 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$4,517 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$43,580結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$43,580結束日期
2026-05-06市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-100% implied probability to Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 29°C or higher on May 6, driven by real-time observational data from China Meteorological Administration stations showing current readings at 29°C (84°F) mid-morning, with AccuWeather and BBC forecasts projecting peaks around 31°C under mostly cloudy but warm conditions. This reflects persistent early May warmth, following yesterday's 31°C high, amplified by the city's basin topography trapping solar insolation and light southerly winds aiding daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thickening cloud cover suppressing peaks below 29°C—low-probability scenarios per model ensembles—but official daily summaries expected tomorrow will confirm resolution based on verified station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions