National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日丹佛的最高溫度？
7月16日丹佛的最高溫度？
92-93華氏度 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,376 交易量
$58,376 交易量
2026-07-16
華氏81度或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93華氏度
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或以上
否
92-93華氏度 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$58,376 交易量
$58,376 交易量
2026-07-16
華氏81度或以下
$4,463 交易量
否
82-83°F
$2,142 交易量
否
84-85°F
$2,395 交易量
否
86-87°F
$5,274 交易量
否
88-89°F
$8,089 交易量
否
90-91°F
$8,006 交易量
否
92-93華氏度
$11,819 交易量
是
94-95°F
$4,680 交易量
否
96-97°F
$3,767 交易量
否
98-99°F
$5,048 交易量
否
100°F或以上
$2,693 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$58,376結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,376結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions